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The trends on the Polish and global amber product markets in 2008
The concentration of Baltic amber
(succinite) extraction in a small fragment of the Russian enclave in the
Kaliningrad Oblast’ and the equally tiny area of the Ukrainian deposit
near Klesiv, on the Volyhn and Polessye frontier, which together yield
almost all of the raw amber supplies for the entire world market,
accounts for the dominant share of the export from these countries to
the countries which have the most advanced amber manufacturing bases,
i.e. to Poland and Lithuania, and recently also to Taiwan and the
People’s Republic of China.
The raw amber supply shortage
Since 2003, the Russian Amber Factory in
Yantarny has been exporting over 70% of its raw amber output (in 2006 as
much as 90%). However, in terms of volume these numbers are constantly
diminishing due to the collapse of the scale of extraction. Although raw
amber prices are steeply rising year-on-year, the value of the exported
material is small and has never exceeded 15 million dollars per annum.
In the context of global international
trade, which has consistently exceeded 15,000 billion dollars every year
in recent years (arms excluded), this is a practically trace quantity:
about one-millionth. So it would be hard to speak of any importance
amber might have in the economic dimension of international trade. The
export sales of finished goods with amber matter somewhat more in
international trade; over 90% of these exports are by Polish and
Lithuanian companies and they are estimated at USD 360,000,000
(including inter-European trade, i.e. export to other countries of the
European Union). This sum (expressed in dollars) has not risen for
several years, which in practical terms means a regression given the US
currency’s diminishing purchasing power and the precipitous drop in its
exchange rate.
The small trade volumes and the small
number of countries interested in this niche economic phenomenon are the
reason why the amber trade does not stand out in official statistics.
Poland is an exception, as this branch of the economy, which is so
typical and traditional here, is monitored by the Mineral and Energy
Economy Research Institute at the Polish Academy of Sciences (PAN) in
Cracow, who I have been working with on the analysis and assessment of
extraction, trade and processing for over a dozen years. The above
amounts are quoted in the Institute’s annual reports for the Polish
government. For complete article click here
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